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CBB Gameday Projections

Key

 Method:

Line is Playable if Adjusted Efficiency is above 20 and FG% is above 10

Line is Playable if Adjusted Efficiency is below 5 and FG% is below 2.5

Double Digit

Favorite Cover

Single Digit

Favorite Cover

Double Digit

Underdog Cover

Single Digit

Underdog Cover

Line is Playable if Adjusted Efficiency is above 12 and FG% is above 5

Line is Playable if Adjusted Efficiency is below 10 and FG% is below 5

Margin Difference

Line is Playable if it beats the current spread line

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Michigan St.

Purdue

MSU

Teams

Conf.

Games Played

Record

Adjusted     Efficiency:   

FG%:  

105.7

50.5

TO%:  

17.1

Reb%: 

29

FT%:  

32.9

2P%:  

50.3

3P%:  

33.9

3P         Rate:  

37.3

67.5

PACE:  

PUR

B10

B10

14

5–9
3–7

113.8

96.1

.8757

50.4

54.8

14.9

18.9

vs.

27.4

26.7

26.5

35.1

47.3

53.9

38.9

37.5

28.5

37.5

66.4

16

16–0
10–0

131.0

94.3

.9777

60.3

45.9

14.9

14.6

37.0

23.6

45.2

21.4

55.9

45.6

45.0

31.0

37.6

37.5

69.5

MSU

PUR

Points Average

Home / Away

Last 3

MSU

MSU

MSU

MSU

MSU

MSU

MSU

MSU

PUR

PUR

PUR

PUR

PUR

PUR

PUR

PUR

-19

19

-18.8

18.8

-4.3

4.3

-12.7

12.7

32.4

16.9

12.6

12.3

-7.50

Spread

69.05

68.2

81.25

75

Margin Difference Method

Projected Winner

MSU

PUR

5.50

Points

68.77

79.17

Cover Method

Double Digit Fav.

Single Digit Fav.

Single Digit Dog

Double Digit Dog

Purdue

Weighted Average Method

Team

Team

Percent

MSU

PUR

-13.34%

13.34%

Mississippi St.

Tennessee

MSST

Teams

Conf.

Games Played

Record

Adjusted     Efficiency:   

FG%:  

105.7

50.5

TO%:  

17.1

Reb%: 

29

FT%:  

32.9

2P%:  

50.3

3P%:  

33.9

3P         Rate:  

37.3

67.5

PACE:  

TENN

SEC

SEC

17

9–8
2–7

111.3

95.2

.8584

50.4

47.8

17.9

17.3

vs.

34.7

27.8

32.8

33.3

51.5

50.5

32.5

29.3

38.2

29.3

68.3

16

14–2
7–2

117.6

86.9

.9702

53.7

42.0

13.9

20.5

33.7

28.2

33.2

31.5

52.8

41.4

36.6

28.5

40.4

42.1

70.4

MSST

TENN

Points Average

Home / Away

Last 3

MSST

MSST

MSST

MSST

MSST

MSST

MSST

MSST

TENN

TENN

TENN

TENN

TENN

TENN

TENN

TENN

-14.6

14.6

-9.1

9.1

-0.8

0.8

1.4

-1.4

2.2

10.4

4.9

1.4

Spread

67.95

74.35

77.75

74.35

Margin Difference Method

Projected Winner

MSST

TENN

5.50

Points

70.08

76.62

Cover Method

Double Digit Fav.

Single Digit Fav.

Single Digit Dog

Double Digit Dog

Weighted Average Method

Team

Team

Percent

MSST

TENN

-30.05%

30.05%

Houston

Texas Tech

HOU

Teams

Conf.

Games Played

Record

Adjusted     Efficiency:   

FG%:  

105.7

50.5

TO%:  

17.1

Reb%: 

29

FT%:  

32.9

2P%:  

50.3

3P%:  

33.9

3P         Rate:  

37.3

67.5

PACE:  

TTU

B12

B12

15

12–3
6–3

118.8

91.2

.9542

48.3

47.1

13.6

20.3

vs.

34.6

33.1

25.3

39.9

46.5

46.7

34.2

31.8

36.4

31.8

63.4

17

15–2
7–2

115.5

96.3

.8901

51.4

46.4

15.1

18.6

33.7

29.7

36.0

21.3

51.5

48.4

34.1

28.9

38.5

40.2

67.0

HOU

TTU

Points Average

Home / Away

Last 3

HOU

HOU

HOU

HOU

HOU

HOU

HOU

HOU

TTU

TTU

TTU

TTU

TTU

TTU

TTU

TTU

8.4

-8.4

-3.8

3.8

-0.2

0.2

-2.5

2.5

29.3

3.3

2.8

0.8

9.50

Spread

67

66

75.65

71.15

Margin Difference Method

Projected Winner

HOU

TTU

1.50

Points

66.67

74.15

Cover Method

Double Digit Fav.

Single Digit Fav.

Single Digit Dog

Double Digit Dog

Weighted Average Method

Team

Team

Percent

HOU

TTU

-78.12%

78.12%

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